GreenFutureForest: scenarios for a sustainable future forest green infrastructure

A European BiodivERsA project on forestry that keeps both timber yield and viable populations of forest species, 2017–2019.

Wood production is an ecosystem service of major economic importance, yet inappropriate forest use is a key reason for species declines across Europe. GreenFutureForest was a pan-European BiodivERsA project that looked for ways of managing forests that secure future timber yields and also keep forest-dwelling species viable.

The project combined models of forest growth with occupancy and (meta)population models of species with different ecological niches: wood-decaying fungi, epiphytic bryophytes, an epiphytic lichen and birds. With these models it simulated landscape-scale scenarios of forestry and conservation in Central European and boreal forests, and built the population models into two widely used forest planning tools, Heureka and SILVA. The scenarios were designed and interpreted together with stakeholders in Sweden, Norway, Germany and Switzerland.

Our part focused on forest birds. Using the long-term study of Siberian jays in the boreal forest of northern Sweden, we asked how forest management affects bird demography and population dynamics, and how well habitat models built from citizen science data forecast where birds occur.

A colour-ringed Siberian jay perched on an open hand

A colour-ringed Siberian jay in Finland (photo: yrjö jyske, CC BY 2.0)

Years: 2017–2019

Funding: BiodivERsA (Swiss part funded by the SNSF)

People: Michael Griesser, Paul Haverkamp, Vicente García-Navas

In collaboration with:

Tord Snäll (Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences)

Jenni Nordén (Norwegian Institute for Nature Research)

Hans Pretzsch (Technical University of Munich)

Boris Schröder (Technical University of Braunschweig)